Player breakdown
Elic Ayomanor
Stanford · 2025 Draft Class
6-2206 lbs4th round, 136th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~23
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
57%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | TEN | 16 | 14 | 89 | 41 | 515 | 12.6 | 4 | 32.2 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Stanford | Pac-12 | 12 | 62 | 1,013 | 6 | 16.3 | 84.4 |
| 2024 | Stanford | ACC | 12 | 63 | 831 | 6 | 13.2 | 69.3 |
| Career | 24 | 125 | 1,844 | 12 | 14.8 | 76.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
56%
ML model output
Context Prob
60%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 10% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.111
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.532
44.0% TD share at small school — dominant alpha receiver red-zone role+0.355
Top Negative Factors
Efficiency consistency: 1.11 — highly consistent across seasons-0.231
0.10 TDs/catch — high-value usage pattern-0.215
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.158