Player breakdown
Elijah Sarratt
Indiana · 2026 Draft Class
6-2210 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $2.0M
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
17%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 13 | 82 | 1,191 | 8 | 14.5 | 91.6 |
| 2024 | Indiana | Big Ten | 13 | 53 | 957 | 8 | 18.1 | 73.6 |
| 2025 | Indiana | Big Ten | 14 | 65 | 830 | 15 | 12.8 | 59.3 |
| Career | 40 | 200 | 2,978 | 31 | 14.9 | 74.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
10%
ML model output
Context Prob
52%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.810
BMI 27.0 — ideal frame for NFL WR (210 lbs)+0.205
0.85 TDs/game — dominant red-zone role in college+0.145
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.273
+10.2 ypg vs. draft class average — above average-0.507
Physical production synergy-0.358