Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Eric Crouch
Eric Crouch

Player breakdown

Eric Crouch

Nebraska · 2002 Draft Class

3rd round, 95th overallAge: ~43
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

26%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2001NebraskaBig 12121631635.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

22%

ML model output

Context Prob

51%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.842
Recruit dominator synergy+0.441
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.272

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.163
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.582
0.08 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.347

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)