Player breakdown
Eric McAlister
Texas Christian · 2026 Draft Class
6-4194 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
22%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Boise State | MWC | 13 | 11 | 259 | 4 | 23.5 | 19.9 |
| 2023 | Boise State | MWC | 9 | 47 | 873 | 5 | 18.6 | 97 |
| 2024 | Texas Christian | Big 12 | 13 | 39 | 762 | 5 | 19.5 | 58.6 |
| 2025 | Texas Christian | Big 12 | 13 | 72 | 1,190 | 10 | 16.5 | 91.5 |
| Career | 48 | 169 | 3,084 | 24 | 18.2 | 64.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
15%
ML model output
Context Prob
65%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
BMI 23.6 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (194 lbs)+0.234
Class YPR rank: top 8% — elite per-target efficiency+0.199
0.58 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.193
Top Negative Factors
Physical production synergy-0.544
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.478
Improvement accelerating (+3.6) — getting better faster each year-0.475