Player breakdown
Freddie Swain
Florida · 2020 Draft Class
6-0197 lbs6th round, 214th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~28
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
37%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | SEA | 16 | 1 | 21 | 13 | 159 | 12.2 | 2 | 9.9 |
| 2021 | SEA | 17 | 8 | 40 | 25 | 343 | 13.7 | 4 | 20.2 |
| 2022 | DEN | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 74 | 18.5 | 0 | 24.7 |
| Career | 36 | 10 | 67 | 42 | 576 | 13.7 | 6 | 16.0 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Florida | SEC | 13 | 8 | 118 | 2 | 14.8 | 9.1 |
| 2017 | Florida | SEC | 11 | 8 | 96 | 1 | 12 | 8.7 |
| 2018 | Florida | SEC | 11 | 14 | 265 | 5 | 18.9 | 24.1 |
| 2019 | Florida | SEC | 12 | 38 | 517 | 7 | 13.6 | 43.1 |
| Career | 47 | 68 | 996 | 15 | 14.6 | 21.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
1%
ML model output
Context Prob
92%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
6
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.303
BMI 26.7 — ideal frame for NFL WR (197 lbs)+0.172
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.94 — elite recruit at elite school+0.164
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 1% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.408
-33.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.593
Accounted for 1.11 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.380