Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Geremy Davis
Geremy Davis

Player breakdown

Geremy Davis

Connecticut · 2015 Draft Class

6-2216 lbs6th round, 186th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~34
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

10%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2015NYG100322110.502.1
2016SDG30200000
2018LAC140100000
2019LAC71333812.705.4
Career341955911.801.7
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2011ConnecticutBig East12673012.26.1
2012ConnecticutBig East1244613113.951.1
2013ConnecticutAmerican12711,085315.390.4
2014ConnecticutAmerican1144521311.847.4
Career471652,292713.948.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

1%

ML model output

Context Prob

62%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.342
6.1 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.273
BMI 27.7 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (216 lbs)+0.170

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.873
-8.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.739
Physical production synergy-0.529

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)