Player breakdown
Hakeem Butler
Iowa St. · 2019 Draft Class
6-5227 lbs4th round, 103rd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~30
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
45%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | PHI | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 11 | 9 | 134 | 2 | 14.9 | 12.2 |
| 2017 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 13 | 41 | 697 | 7 | 17 | 53.6 |
| 2018 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 13 | 60 | 1,318 | 9 | 22 | 101.4 |
| Career | 37 | 110 | 2,149 | 18 | 19.5 | 58.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
12%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
4
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.360
Speed × production: 148.6 — elite combined athletic output+0.254
BMI 26.9 — ideal frame for NFL WR (227 lbs)+0.231
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.256
+1.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.708
Improvement accelerating (+8.8) — getting better faster each year-0.439