Player breakdown
Hank Beatty
Illinois · 2026 Draft Class
5-11185 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
19%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Illinois | Big Ten | 12 | 7 | 25 | 0 | 3.6 | 2.1 |
| 2023 | Illinois | Big Ten | 12 | 8 | 65 | 0 | 8.1 | 5.4 |
| 2024 | Illinois | Big Ten | 13 | 20 | 294 | 1 | 14.7 | 22.6 |
| 2025 | Illinois | Big Ten | 13 | 70 | 864 | 3 | 12.3 | 66.5 |
| Career | 50 | 105 | 1,248 | 4 | 11.9 | 25.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
14%
ML model output
Context Prob
48%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 11% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.135
Recruit dominator synergy+0.487
2.1 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.267
Top Negative Factors
-27.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.748
Improvement accelerating (+33.6) — getting better faster each year-0.503
0.08 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.455