Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Hayden Eligon II
Hayden Eligon II

Player breakdown

Hayden Eligon II

Northwestern · 2026 Draft Class

6-4210 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~20
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

9%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2024NorthwesternBig Ten9483020.89.2
2025NorthwesternBig Ten1237521314.143.4
Career2141604314.728.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

2%

ML model output

Context Prob

46%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.405
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.188
BMI 25.6 — ideal frame for NFL WR (210 lbs)+0.163

Top Negative Factors

-27.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.745
Improvement accelerating (+5.3) — getting better faster each year-0.481
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.452

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)