Player breakdown
Houston Thomas
UTSA · 2026 Draft Class
6-5245 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
5%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | UTSA | CUSA | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | UTSA | American | 13 | 9 | 101 | 0 | 11.2 | 7.8 |
| 2024 | UTSA | American | 13 | 34 | 470 | 3 | 13.8 | 36.2 |
| 2025 | UTSA | American | 12 | 34 | 347 | 2 | 10.2 | 28.9 |
| Career | 42 | 78 | 918 | 5 | 11.8 | 21.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
0%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.429
0.0 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.247
1 freshman catches — suppressed depth chart+0.163
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 1% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.543
Improvement accelerating (+470.0) — getting better faster each year-0.548
-1.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.531