Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Hunter Summers
Hunter Summers

Player breakdown

Hunter Summers

Arkansas State · 2027 Draft Class

6-3161 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~20
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

8%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2024Arkansas StateSun Belt139116212.98.9
2025Arkansas StateSun Belt1344505411.538.8
Career2653621611.723.9

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

4%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.474
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.188
8.9 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.164

Top Negative Factors

-27.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.738
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.563
Improvement accelerating (+3.4) — getting better faster each year-0.486

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)