Player breakdown
Isaac TeSlaa
Arkansas · 2025 Draft Class
6-4214 lbs3rd round, 70th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~24
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
2%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | DET | 17 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 239 | 14.9 | 6 | 14.1 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Arkansas | SEC | 12 | 34 | 351 | 2 | 10.3 | 29.3 |
| 2024 | Arkansas | SEC | 13 | 28 | 545 | 3 | 19.5 | 41.9 |
| Career | 25 | 62 | 896 | 5 | 14.5 | 35.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
1%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.512
BMI 26.1 — ideal frame for NFL WR (214 lbs)+0.166
55.9 conference-adjusted ypg — SEC/Big Ten players penalized less than spread teams+0.141
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.405
-20.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.591
Physical production synergy-0.428