Player breakdown
Isaiah McKenzie
Georgia · 2017 Draft Class
5-7173 lbs5th round, 172nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~31
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
43%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | DEN | 11 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 29 | 7.3 | 0 | 2.6 |
| 2018 | BUF | 7 | 1 | 30 | 18 | 179 | 9.9 | 0 | 25.6 |
| 2019 | BUF | 15 | 8 | 39 | 27 | 254 | 9.4 | 1 | 16.9 |
| 2020 | BUF | 16 | 7 | 34 | 30 | 282 | 9.4 | 5 | 17.6 |
| 2021 | BUF | 15 | 2 | 26 | 20 | 178 | 8.9 | 1 | 11.9 |
| 2022 | BUF | 15 | 8 | 65 | 42 | 423 | 10.1 | 4 | 28.2 |
| 2023 | IND | 13 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 82 | 7.5 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Career | 92 | 28 | 221 | 152 | 1,427 | 9.4 | 11 | 15.5 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | Georgia | SEC | 12 | 6 | 67 | 0 | 11.2 | 5.6 |
| 2015 | Georgia | SEC | 10 | 10 | 123 | 0 | 12.3 | 12.3 |
| 2016 | Georgia | SEC | 13 | 44 | 633 | 7 | 14.4 | 48.7 |
| Career | 35 | 60 | 823 | 7 | 13.7 | 23.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
13%
ML model output
Context Prob
88%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
6
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 16% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.248
5.6 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.284
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.89 — elite recruit at elite school+0.209
Top Negative Factors
-28.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.756
Physical production synergy-0.471
Improvement accelerating (+8.4) — getting better faster each year-0.456