Player breakdown
Israel Polk
Akron · 2027 Draft Class
6-1170 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
5%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Pitt | ACC | 4 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 3.5 |
| 2024 | Akron | MAC | 11 | 24 | 201 | 0 | 8.4 | 18.3 |
| 2025 | Akron | MAC | 12 | 33 | 525 | 8 | 15.9 | 43.8 |
| Career | 27 | 58 | 740 | 8 | 12.8 | 27.4 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
1%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
BMI 22.4 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (170 lbs)+0.158
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.155
31.6 career ypg — limited college production+0.134
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.758
-19.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.740
Improvement accelerating (+36.5) — getting better faster each year-0.549