Player breakdown
Jack Bech
TCU · 2025 Draft Class
6-1214 lbs2nd round, 58th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~23
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
35%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | LVR | 16 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 224 | 11.2 | 0 | 14 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | LSU | SEC | 13 | 43 | 489 | 3 | 11.4 | 37.6 |
| 2022 | LSU | SEC | 12 | 16 | 200 | 1 | 12.5 | 16.7 |
| 2023 | Texas Christian | Big 12 | 8 | 12 | 146 | 0 | 12.2 | 18.3 |
| 2024 | Texas Christian | Big 12 | 12 | 62 | 1,034 | 9 | 16.7 | 86.2 |
| Career | 45 | 133 | 1,869 | 13 | 14.1 | 41.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
1%
ML model output
Context Prob
85%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
4
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
BMI 28.2 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (214 lbs)+0.204
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.197
Team averaged 0.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.164
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.543
+3.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.554
Physical production synergy-0.466