Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jacob Gill
Jacob Gill

Player breakdown

Jacob Gill

Iowa · 2026 Draft Class

6-0185 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~23
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

2%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2021NorthwesternBig Ten12885110.67.1
2022NorthwesternBig Ten12799114.18.3
2023NorthwesternBig Ten41110112.8
2024IowaBig Ten1335411211.731.6
2025IowaBig Ten1324278111.621.4
Career5475884511.816.4

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

1%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.393
Team averaged 20.0 pass attempts/game — run-heavy offensive system+0.189
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.85 — elite recruit at elite school+0.182

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 0% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.610
-1.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.501
Improvement accelerating (+3.8) — getting better faster each year-0.454

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)