Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jacob Harris
Jacob Harris

Player breakdown

Jacob Harris

Central Florida · 2021 Draft Class

6-5219 lbs4th round, 141st overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~29
EliteDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

77%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2022LAR70116600.9
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2019UCFAmerican1319448123.634.5
2020UCFAmerican103053981853.9
2024Bowling GreenMAC102502.50.5
2025Bowling GreenMAC121918259.615.2
Career45701,1741416.826.1

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

36%

ML model output

Context Prob

95%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

7

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 11% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.112
Improvement accelerating (+0.2) — getting better faster each year+0.382
Recruit dominator synergy+0.344

Top Negative Factors

-14.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.767
Accounted for 1.30 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.393
0.39 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.307

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)