Player breakdown
Jacoby Ford
Clemson · 2010 Draft Class
5-9186 lbs4th round, 108th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~39
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
41%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | OAK | 16 | 9 | 54 | 25 | 470 | 18.8 | 2 | 29.4 |
| 2011 | OAK | 8 | 3 | 33 | 19 | 279 | 14.7 | 1 | 34.9 |
| 2013 | OAK | 14 | 1 | 24 | 13 | 99 | 7.6 | 0 | 7.1 |
| Career | 38 | 13 | 111 | 57 | 848 | 14.9 | 3 | 22.3 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | Clemson | ACC | 13 | 15 | 187 | 2 | 12.5 | 14.4 |
| 2007 | Clemson | ACC | 8 | 17 | 310 | 4 | 18.2 | 38.8 |
| 2008 | Clemson | ACC | 13 | 55 | 710 | 4 | 12.9 | 54.6 |
| 2009 | Clemson | ACC | 14 | 56 | 779 | 6 | 13.9 | 55.6 |
| Career | 48 | 143 | 1,986 | 16 | 13.9 | 41.4 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
10%
ML model output
Context Prob
88%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
6
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 29% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.243
BMI 27.5 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (186 lbs)+0.186
66.8 conference-adjusted ypg — SEC/Big Ten players penalized less than spread teams+0.150
Top Negative Factors
-13.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.768
Physical production synergy-0.555
0.33 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.352