Player breakdown
Ja'Cory Thomas
Old Dominion · 2026 Draft Class
Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
45%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | 12 | 41 | 719 | 5 | 17.5 | 59.9 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
48%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.866
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.260
Class YPR rank: top 9% — elite per-target efficiency+0.233
Top Negative Factors
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.744
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.462
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.335