Player breakdown
Jaden Barnes
Appalachian State · 2026 Draft Class
Undrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
High
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
55%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Appalachian State | Sun Belt | 10 | 55 | 608 | 7 | 11.1 | 60.8 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
57%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.874
Recruit dominator synergy+0.239
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.209
Top Negative Factors
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.717
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.568
Physical production synergy-0.341