Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jake Schifino
Jake Schifino

Player breakdown

Jake Schifino

Akron · 2002 Draft Class

6-1200 lbs5th round, 151st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~46
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

15%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2003TEN130100000
2004TEN10100000
Career1402000.000.0
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2000AkronMAC1142778418.570.7
2001AkronMAC1136506314.146
Career22781,284716.558.4

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

13%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.783
BMI 26.4 — ideal frame for NFL WR (200 lbs)+0.161
16.5 career YPR — elite downfield efficiency+0.159

Top Negative Factors

+4.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.752
Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.612
Physical production synergy-0.414

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)