Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jakeem Grant
Jakeem Grant

Player breakdown

Jakeem Grant

Texas Tech · 2016 Draft Class

5-6151 lbs6th round, 186th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~33
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

40%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2016MIA160100000
2017MIA160221320315.6212.7
2018MIA102342126812.8226.8
2019MIA10233191648.6016.4
2020MIA144543637310.4126.6
20212TM15017111321228.8
2021MIA4022-7-3.50-1.8
2021CHI11015913915.4212.6
Career9681781111,27211.5913.3
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2012Texas TechBig 12133228438.921.8
2013Texas TechBig 121165796712.272.4
2014Texas TechBig 12126793871478.2
2015Texas TechBig 1213901,2681014.197.5
Career492543,2862712.967.1

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

26%

ML model output

Context Prob

65%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

3

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 10% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.131
Recruit dominator synergy+0.427
0.55 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.215

Top Negative Factors

Improvement accelerating (+3.5) — getting better faster each year-0.456
Physical production synergy-0.382
Team averaged 47.7 pass attempts/game — pass-heavy spread offensive system-0.255

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)