Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jaleel Scott
Jaleel Scott

Player breakdown

Jaleel Scott

New Mexico St. · 2018 Draft Class

6-5218 lbs4th round, 132nd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~31
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

10%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2019BAL30316602
2020NYJ11111616016
Career41422211.005.5
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2016New Mexico StateSun Belt1223283512.323.6
2017New Mexico StateSun Belt13761,079914.283
Career25991,3621413.854.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

3%

ML model output

Context Prob

48%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

0.56 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.210
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.172
BMI 25.9 — ideal frame for NFL WR (218 lbs)+0.160

Top Negative Factors

-2.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.737
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.715
Accounted for 1.69 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.401

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)