Player breakdown
Jalen Saunders
Oklahoma · 2014 Draft Class
5-9165 lbs4th round, 104th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~33
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
60%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | NOR | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1.2 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Fresno State | WAC | 13 | 30 | 462 | 3 | 15.4 | 35.5 |
| 2011 | Fresno State | WAC | 13 | 50 | 1,065 | 12 | 21.3 | 81.9 |
| 2012 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 9 | 62 | 829 | 3 | 13.4 | 92.1 |
| 2013 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 13 | 61 | 729 | 8 | 12 | 56.1 |
| Career | 48 | 203 | 3,085 | 26 | 15.2 | 64.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
60%
ML model output
Context Prob
60%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 11% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.194
Physical production synergy+0.360
BMI 24.4 — ideal frame for NFL WR (165 lbs)+0.240
Top Negative Factors
Accounted for 1.85 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.442
Improvement accelerating (+1.3) — getting better faster each year-0.245
0.09 TDs/catch — high-value usage pattern-0.218