Player breakdown
Jalen Smith
Minnesota · 2028 Draft Class
6-1195 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
55%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Minnesota | Big Ten | 13 | 28 | 419 | 4 | 15 | 32.2 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
56%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 13% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.089
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.822
Recruit dominator synergy+0.447
Top Negative Factors
-22.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.726
0.31 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.395
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.377