Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jalil Farooq
Jalil Farooq

Player breakdown

Jalil Farooq

Maryland · 2026 Draft Class

6-1200 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~23
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

13%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2021OklahomaBig 128469017.38.6
2022OklahomaBig 121337466512.635.8
2023OklahomaBig 121345694215.453.4
2024OklahomaSEC2358019.329
2025MarylandBig Ten125854549.445.4
Career481471,8321112.538.2

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

12%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 26% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.147
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.94 — elite recruit at elite school+0.198
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.186

Top Negative Factors

-9.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.716
Improvement accelerating (+9.1) — getting better faster each year-0.558
Physical production synergy-0.402

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)