Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Ja'Lynn Polk
Ja'Lynn Polk

Player breakdown

Ja'Lynn Polk

Washington · 2024 Draft Class

6-1203 lbs2nd round, 37th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~24
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

31%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2024NWE1573312877.325.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

5%

ML model output

Context Prob

81%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

3

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.278
BMI 26.8 — ideal frame for NFL WR (203 lbs)+0.219
Class YPR rank: top 9% — elite per-target efficiency+0.210

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.461
+7.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.696
Improvement accelerating (+3.4) — getting better faster each year-0.367

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)