Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jamari Hawkins
Jamari Hawkins

Player breakdown

Jamari Hawkins

Memphis · 2026 Draft Class

5-9185 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~20
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

10%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2024MemphisAmerican12324082
2025MemphisAmerican1338623216.447.9
Career2541647215.825.9

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

4%

ML model output

Context Prob

45%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.451
2.0 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.274
Class YPR rank: top 20% — elite per-target efficiency+0.247

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.756
-26.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.747
Improvement accelerating (+25.0) — getting better faster each year-0.594

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)