Player breakdown
James Hardy
Indiana · 2008 Draft Class
6-5217 lbs2nd round, 41st overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~40
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
15%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | BUF | 14 | 3 | 24 | 9 | 87 | 9.7 | 2 | 6.2 |
| 2009 | BUF | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4.5 |
| Career | 16 | 3 | 25 | 10 | 96 | 9.6 | 2 | 6.0 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | Indiana | Big Ten | 10 | 61 | 893 | 10 | 14.6 | 89.3 |
| 2006 | Indiana | Big Ten | 10 | 51 | 722 | 10 | 14.2 | 72.2 |
| 2007 | Indiana | Big Ten | 13 | 79 | 1,125 | 16 | 14.2 | 86.5 |
| Career | 33 | 191 | 2,740 | 36 | 14.3 | 83.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
8%
ML model output
Context Prob
50%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
54.0% TD share at small school — dominant alpha receiver red-zone role+0.331
Physical production synergy+0.326
BMI 25.7 — ideal frame for NFL WR (217 lbs)+0.233
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.771
Efficiency composite: 0.64 — average combined efficiency-0.210
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.175