Predicting the Pros
Predictions/James Proche
James Proche

Player breakdown

James Proche

SMU · 2020 Draft Class

5-11201 lbs6th round, 201st overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~29
EliteDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

84%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2020BAL14031141401
2021BAL140201620212.6014.4
2022BAL150178627.804.1
2023CLE101500000
2024CLE903321702.3
2025TEN921266510.807.2
Career713603436410.705.1
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2016SMUAmerican1257709612.459.1
2017SMUAmerican1340816620.462.8
2018SMUAmerican12931,1991212.999.9
2019SMUAmerican131111,225151194.2
Career503013,9493913.179.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

90%

ML model output

Context Prob

50%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 18% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.299
Physical production synergy+0.384
33.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.283

Top Negative Factors

No combine speed data — model penalizes missing athleticism-0.231
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.194
Recruit dominator synergy-0.168

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)