Predicting the Pros
Predictions/James Washington
James Washington

Player breakdown

James Washington

Oklahoma St. · 2018 Draft Class

5-11213 lbs2nd round, 60th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~30
EliteBiletnikoff x1All-American x1Did Not Hit
Major awards: 2Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

92%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2018PIT146381621713.6115.5
2019PIT1510804473516.7349
2020PIT167563039213.1524.5
2021PIT152442428511.9219
2022DAL20100000
Career62252191141,62914.31126.3
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2009North Carolina StateACC554418.88.8
2010North Carolina StateACC82718516.923.1
2011North Carolina StateACC134231507.524.2
2012North Carolina StateACC485807.314.5
2014Oklahoma StateBig 121328456616.335.1
2015Oklahoma StateBig 1213531,0871020.583.6
2016Oklahoma StateBig 1213711,3801019.4106.2
2017Oklahoma StateBig 1213741,5491320.9119.2
Career823085,0744116.561.9

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

90%

ML model output

Context Prob

95%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

3

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 13% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.291
Physical production synergy+0.523
+30.0 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.282

Top Negative Factors

Improvement accelerating (+25.7) — getting better faster each year-0.365
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.217
Recruit dominator synergy-0.194

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)