Player breakdown
James Wright
LSU · 2014 Draft Class
6-2180 lbs7th round, 239th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~34
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
23%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | CIN | 11 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 91 | 18.2 | 0 | 8.3 |
| 2016 | CIN | 13 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 106 | 8.2 | 0 | 8.2 |
| Career | 24 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 197 | 10.9 | 0 | 8.2 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 12 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 9 | 2.3 |
| 2004 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 11 | 14 | 126 | 0 | 9 | 11.5 |
| 2009 | New Mexico | MWC | 10 | 4 | 36 | 0 | 9 | 3.6 |
| 2010 | New Mexico | MWC | 11 | 7 | 50 | 0 | 7.1 | 4.5 |
| 2010 | LSU | SEC | 12 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 10.5 | 1.8 |
| 2011 | New Mexico | MWC | 10 | 13 | 88 | 0 | 6.8 | 8.8 |
| 2011 | LSU | SEC | 14 | 5 | 41 | 0 | 8.2 | 2.9 |
| 2012 | LSU | SEC | 12 | 18 | 242 | 0 | 13.4 | 20.2 |
| Career | 92 | 66 | 631 | 0 | 9.6 | 6.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
20%
ML model output
Context Prob
43%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 31% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.145
Recruit dominator synergy+0.514
1.8 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.258
Top Negative Factors
-44.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.735
Improvement accelerating (+5.7) — getting better faster each year-0.485
0.00 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.469