Player breakdown
Jared Abbrederis
Wisconsin · 2014 Draft Class
6-1195 lbs5th round, 176th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~35
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
59%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | GNB | 10 | 0 | 16 | 9 | 111 | 12.3 | 0 | 11.1 |
| 2016 | GNB | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1.6 |
| 2017 | DET | 7 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 44 | 14.7 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Career | 22 | 0 | 25 | 13 | 163 | 12.5 | 0 | 7.4 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 13 | 20 | 289 | 3 | 14.5 | 22.2 |
| 2011 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 14 | 55 | 933 | 8 | 17 | 66.6 |
| 2012 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 13 | 49 | 837 | 5 | 17.1 | 64.4 |
| 2013 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | 13 | 78 | 1,081 | 7 | 13.9 | 83.2 |
| Career | 53 | 202 | 3,140 | 23 | 15.5 | 59.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
50%
ML model output
Context Prob
77%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 21% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.282
BMI 25.7 — ideal frame for NFL WR (195 lbs)+0.241
Accounted for 3.05 yards per team pass attempt — alpha receiver share+0.197
Top Negative Factors
+4.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.737
Physical production synergy-0.495
Improvement accelerating (+2.7) — getting better faster each year-0.324