Player breakdown
Jarius Wright
Arkansas · 2012 Draft Class
5-10182 lbs4th round, 118th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~36
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
28%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | MIN | 7 | 1 | 36 | 22 | 310 | 14.1 | 2 | 44.3 |
| 2013 | MIN | 16 | 3 | 43 | 26 | 434 | 16.7 | 3 | 27.1 |
| 2014 | MIN | 16 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 588 | 14 | 2 | 36.8 |
| 2015 | MIN | 16 | 3 | 50 | 34 | 442 | 13 | 0 | 27.6 |
| 2016 | MIN | 8 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 67 | 6.1 | 1 | 8.4 |
| 2017 | MIN | 16 | 0 | 25 | 18 | 198 | 11 | 2 | 12.4 |
| 2018 | CAR | 16 | 6 | 59 | 43 | 447 | 10.4 | 1 | 27.9 |
| 2019 | CAR | 16 | 9 | 58 | 28 | 296 | 10.6 | 0 | 18.5 |
| Career | 111 | 30 | 347 | 224 | 2,782 | 12.4 | 11 | 25.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | Arkansas | SEC | 12 | 19 | 348 | 2 | 18.3 | 29 |
| 2009 | Arkansas | SEC | 13 | 41 | 681 | 5 | 16.6 | 52.4 |
| 2010 | Arkansas | SEC | 13 | 42 | 788 | 5 | 18.8 | 60.6 |
| 2011 | Arkansas | SEC | 12 | 66 | 1,117 | 12 | 16.9 | 93.1 |
| Career | 50 | 168 | 2,934 | 24 | 17.5 | 58.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
2%
ML model output
Context Prob
77%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
BMI 26.1 — ideal frame for NFL WR (182 lbs)+0.248
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.90 — elite recruit at elite school+0.201
Class YPR rank: top 9% — elite per-target efficiency+0.184
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.459
+6.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.546
Physical production synergy-0.520