Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jasaiah Gathings
Jasaiah Gathings

Player breakdown

Jasaiah Gathings

Buffalo · 2026 Draft Class

6-0160 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

5%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2022AkronMAC21160168
2023AkronMAC1255575110.547.9
2024ConnecticutInd133230739.623.6
2025BuffaloMAC1136410311.437.3
Career381241,308710.534.4

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

3%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.449
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.266
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.83x — route-running independent of system+0.176

Top Negative Factors

-14.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.734
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.646
Improvement accelerating (+34.9) — getting better faster each year-0.547

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)