Player breakdown
Javen Nicholas
Charlotte · 2026 Draft Class
5-9190 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
12%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | LSU | SEC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.5 |
| 2024 | LSU | SEC | 12 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 8 | 2 |
| 2025 | Charlotte | American | 12 | 60 | 740 | 5 | 12.3 | 61.7 |
| Career | 28 | 64 | 766 | 5 | 12.0 | 27.4 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
5%
ML model output
Context Prob
51%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.214
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.67x — route-running independent of system+0.212
7.4 avg YPR per season — average consistent efficiency+0.185
Top Negative Factors
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.704
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.579
Improvement accelerating (+369.0) — getting better faster each year-0.564