Player breakdown
Javon Baker
Central Florida · 2024 Draft Class
6-1202 lbs4th round, 110th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~24
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
72%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | NWE | 11 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 1.1 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Alabama | SEC | 7 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 7.5 | 2.1 |
| 2021 | Alabama | SEC | 11 | 7 | 101 | 1 | 14.4 | 9.2 |
| 2022 | UCF | American | 14 | 56 | 796 | 5 | 14.2 | 56.9 |
| 2023 | UCF | Big 12 | 13 | 52 | 1,139 | 7 | 21.9 | 87.6 |
| Career | 45 | 117 | 2,051 | 13 | 17.5 | 45.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
61%
ML model output
Context Prob
85%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
4
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 11% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.273
Class YPR rank: top 6% — elite per-target efficiency+0.213
Accounted for 3.11 yards per team pass attempt — alpha receiver share+0.210
Top Negative Factors
Physical production synergy-0.571
Improvement accelerating (+74.9) — getting better faster each year-0.465
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.160