Player breakdown
Jayce Brown
Kansas State · 2026 Draft Class
6-0179 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
41%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 10 | 27 | 437 | 3 | 16.2 | 43.7 |
| 2024 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 13 | 47 | 823 | 5 | 17.5 | 63.3 |
| 2025 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 10 | 41 | 712 | 5 | 17.4 | 71.2 |
| Career | 33 | 115 | 1,972 | 13 | 17.1 | 59.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
42%
ML model output
Context Prob
40%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 20% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.190
Recruit dominator synergy+0.281
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.232
Top Negative Factors
+7.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.721
Physical production synergy-0.458
0.39 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.316