Player breakdown
Jayden Higgins
Iowa St. · 2025 Draft Class
6-4214 lbs2nd round, 34th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~23
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $1.2M
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
40%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | HOU | 17 | 10 | 68 | 41 | 525 | 12.8 | 6 | 30.9 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 13 | 53 | 983 | 6 | 18.5 | 75.6 |
| 2024 | Iowa State | Big 12 | 13 | 87 | 1,183 | 9 | 13.6 | 91 |
| Career | 26 | 140 | 2,166 | 15 | 15.5 | 83.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
37%
ML model output
Context Prob
57%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Improvement accelerating (+0.2) — getting better faster each year+0.337
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.223
BMI 26.1 — ideal frame for NFL WR (214 lbs)+0.217
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.046
Efficiency consistency: 1.20 — highly consistent across seasons-0.229
Recruit dominator synergy-0.194