Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jaylen Sargent
Jaylen Sargent

Player breakdown

Jaylen Sargent

Wyoming · 2026 Draft Class

6-2186 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

6%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2022WyomingMWC3212064
2023WyomingMWC71150152.1
2024WyomingMWC1223480220.940
2025WyomingMWC122024001220
Career3446747216.222.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

0%

ML model output

Context Prob

35%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.453
4.0 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.248
Class YPR rank: top 11% — elite per-target efficiency+0.247

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 0% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.555
Improvement accelerating (+39.0) — getting better faster each year-0.542
-12.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.539

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)