Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jeff Webb
Jeff Webb

Player breakdown

Jeff Webb

San Diego St. · 2006 Draft Class

6-2211 lbs6th round, 190th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~44
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

8%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2006KAN10043237.702.3
2007KAN162572831311.2119.6
2008KAN51135469.209.2
Career313743638210.6112.3
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2001San Diego StateMWC1116212013.319.3
2003San Diego StateMWC1055706412.870.6
2004San Diego StateMWC1171863612.278.5
2005San Diego StateMWC12921,1091012.192.4
Career442342,8902012.465.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

2%

ML model output

Context Prob

43%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

32.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.320
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.190
BMI 27.1 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (211 lbs)+0.173

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.435
+9.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.537
Physical production synergy-0.484

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)