Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jehu Chesson
Jehu Chesson

Player breakdown

Jehu Chesson

Michigan · 2017 Draft Class

6-3204 lbs4th round, 139th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~32
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

37%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2017KAN1214218901.5
2018WAS120217700.6
Career24163258.301.0
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2013MichiganBig Ten1115221114.720.1
2014MichiganBig Ten111415401114
2015MichiganBig Ten1350764915.358.8
2016MichiganBig Ten1335500214.338.5
Career481141,6391214.434.1

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

3%

ML model output

Context Prob

88%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

6

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 15% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.199
BMI 25.5 — ideal frame for NFL WR (204 lbs)+0.217
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.205

Top Negative Factors

-21.8 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.764
Physical production synergy-0.555
0.25 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.466

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)