Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jeremiah Koger
Jeremiah Koger

Player breakdown

Jeremiah Koger

South Florida · 2026 Draft Class

6-4190 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Medium
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

45%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2025South FloridaAmerican1338597815.745.9

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

33%

ML model output

Context Prob

67%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

3

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.829
Recruit dominator synergy+0.428
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.257

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.411
-8.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.704
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.352

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)