Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jeremiah Smith
Jeremiah Smith

Player breakdown

Jeremiah Smith

Ohio State · 2026 Draft Class

6-3223 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~20
Elite
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $4.2M
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

95%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2024Ohio StateBig Ten16761,3151517.382.2
2025Ohio StateBig Ten13871,2431214.395.6
Career291632,5582715.788.2

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

95%

ML model output

Context Prob

95%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

8

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 21% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.057
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.758
+31.2 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.293

Top Negative Factors

Physical production synergy-0.468
Recruit dominator synergy-0.277
Speed × production: 0.0 — average combined athletic output-0.164

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)