Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Jeremy Ebert
Jeremy Ebert

Player breakdown

Jeremy Ebert

Northwestern · 2012 Draft Class

6-0178 lbs7th round, 235th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~37
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

9%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2013JAX508318603.6
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2008NorthwesternBig Ten1315161210.712.4
2009NorthwesternBig Ten1321226010.817.4
2010NorthwesternBig Ten1362953815.473.3
2011NorthwesternBig Ten13751,0601114.181.5
Career521732,4002113.946.2

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

1%

ML model output

Context Prob

54%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

BMI 24.1 — ideal frame for NFL WR (178 lbs)+0.205
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.200
3.3 catches/game — secondary receiver+0.131

Top Negative Factors

-6.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.730
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.678
Physical production synergy-0.592

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)