Player breakdown
Shaun McDonald
Arizona St. · 2003 Draft Class
5-8169 lbs4th round, 106th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~45
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
73%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | STL | 8 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 62 | 6.2 | 0 | 7.8 |
| 2004 | STL | 16 | 0 | 68 | 37 | 494 | 13.4 | 3 | 30.9 |
| 2005 | STL | 16 | 2 | 74 | 46 | 523 | 11.4 | 0 | 32.7 |
| 2006 | STL | 16 | 0 | 19 | 13 | 136 | 10.5 | 1 | 8.5 |
| 2007 | DET | 16 | 7 | 127 | 79 | 943 | 11.9 | 6 | 58.9 |
| 2008 | DET | 12 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 332 | 9.5 | 1 | 27.7 |
| Career | 84 | 17 | 376 | 220 | 2,490 | 11.3 | 11 | 29.6 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 11 | 18 | 297 | 1 | 16.5 | 27 |
| 2001 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 11 | 47 | 1,104 | 10 | 23.5 | 100.4 |
| 2002 | Arizona State | Pac-10 | 14 | 87 | 1,405 | 13 | 16.1 | 100.4 |
| Career | 36 | 152 | 2,806 | 24 | 18.5 | 77.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
55%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
4
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 10% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.133
BMI 25.7 — ideal frame for NFL WR (169 lbs)+0.244
0.67 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.223
Top Negative Factors
Physical production synergy-0.589
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.423
Improvement accelerating (+3.7) — getting better faster each year-0.404