Player breakdown
JJ Buchanan
Utah · 2028 Draft Class
6-4200 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~19
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
40%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Utah | Big 12 | 13 | 26 | 427 | 5 | 16.4 | 32.8 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
40%
ML model output
Context Prob
37%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.843
Recruit dominator synergy+0.463
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.256
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.777
-2.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.751
Accounted for 0.00 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.354