Predicting the Pros
Predictions/J'Mon Moore
J'Mon Moore

Player breakdown

J'Mon Moore

Missouri · 2018 Draft Class

6-3207 lbs4th round, 133rd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~31
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

46%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2018GNB12032157.501.3
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2014MissouriSEC12233016.52.8
2015MissouriSEC1229350312.129.2
2016MissouriSEC12621,012816.384.3
2017MissouriSEC13651,0821016.683.2
Career491582,4772115.750.6

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

41%

ML model output

Context Prob

73%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 13% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.256
2.8 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.267
BMI 25.9 — ideal frame for NFL WR (207 lbs)+0.194

Top Negative Factors

-5.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.717
Physical production synergy-0.559
Improvement accelerating (+31.8) — getting better faster each year-0.431

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)