Player breakdown
Joe Webb
Ala-Birmingham · 2010 Draft Class
6th round, 199th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~39
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
6%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | MIN | 16 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 33 | 6.6 | 0 | 2.1 |
| 2014 | CAR | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 2.3 |
| 2015 | CAR | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2016 | CAR | 14 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.2 |
| 2017 | BUF | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2018 | HOU | 16 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | 0 | 0.8 |
| Career | 85 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 65 | 7.2 | 0 | 0.8 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | UAB | CUSA | 11 | 30 | 459 | 3 | 15.3 | 41.7 |
| 2009 | UAB | CUSA | 12 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| Career | 23 | 32 | 471 | 4 | 14.7 | 20.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
5%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.870
Recruit dominator synergy+0.399
Efficiency consistency: 1.04 — highly consistent across seasons+0.200
Top Negative Factors
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.742
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.568
0.17 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.429