Player breakdown
Joel Filani
Texas Tech · 2007 Draft Class
6-2211 lbs6th round, 188th overallAge: ~41
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
70%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 0.7 |
| 2004 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 12 | 18 | 310 | 2 | 17.2 | 25.8 |
| 2005 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 12 | 65 | 1,007 | 8 | 15.5 | 83.9 |
| 2006 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 13 | 91 | 1,300 | 13 | 14.3 | 100 |
| Career | 50 | 175 | 2,626 | 23 | 15.0 | 52.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
32%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
5
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 10% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.019
Recruit dominator synergy+0.372
0.7 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.263
Top Negative Factors
-3.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.700
Physical production synergy-0.540
Improvement accelerating (+143.4) — getting better faster each year-0.422